Polymarket2026-09-26 06:11:53Polymarket odds of BTC hitting $87,500 in September fall to 22%Data tracked by the PPP prediction market tool shows that odds on Polymarket for Bitcoin to reach $87,500 during the rest of September have fallen to 22%, down 9% over the past 24 hours. In a separate market, the probability of BTC touching $90,000 within the remaining days of September has dropped to 7%, a 6% decline over the same period. Under the market’s settlement rules, resolution is based solely on the 1-minute candlestick data for the BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance. If the high of any 1-minute candle during the specified month reaches or exceeds the target price stated in the market title, the contract settles immediately to “Yes.” If that does not happen, it settles to “No.” Prices from other exchanges or other trading pairs are not used for settlement.10
Polymarket2026-08-25 06:30:08Polymarket odds of BTC hitting $85,000 in the rest of August climb to 44%PPP’s prediction-market tracker shows rising odds on Polymarket for Bitcoin to reach higher price levels before August ends. The market for BTC touching $85,000 during the remaining days of August has climbed to 44%, up 26% over the past 24 hours. A separate contract tracking whether BTC will hit $90,000 in the same period has moved to 12%, an increase of 6% over 24 hours. Settlement for the market is tied specifically to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Under the listed rules, the contract resolves based on whether the high of any one-minute candle on Binance BTC/USDT reaches or exceeds the target price at any time from 12:00 a.m. Eastern Time on the first day of the month through 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on the last day. If that condition is met, the market resolves to Yes immediately; otherwise, it resolves to No. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or spot markets outside that benchmark are not counted.1000
FBI2026-07-10 08:26:13FBI Director Kash Patel’s Overhaul Cuts Near-Term Exit Odds to 31.5%FBI Director Kash Patel unveiled major reforms, including relocating more than 1,000 agents from Washington to field offices. After the announcement, the market-implied odds of his departure by June 30 fell to 31.5%.380
